Kandidaten presidentschap Venezuela in 2012.
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30/04/2011 at 08:23 (UTC 0)
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Candidate Watch: Where they stand
Posted on April 29, 2011 by Francisco Toro
The opposition campaign for the 2012 Presidential election is going to heat up faster than an overworked Planta Centro generator. To help guide the discussion, we thought it would be fun to break the field down for you, as it currently stands.
- Henrique Capriles
Primero Justicia, Governor of Miranda
Pro: Smart, disciplined politician. Effective governor. Non-polarizing figure NiNis respond well to. Young. Excellent poll numbers in his home state. Virtually endorsed by Caracas Chronicles, although we’re not quite there yet.
Con: Not the most exciting speaker. Born with a silver spoon in his mouth. Can come across as cantankerous rather than optimistic.
The deal: Frontrunner by some distance. Guy most likely to unify the opposition, rally NiNis and beat Chávez. Nomination is his to lose.
- Leopoldo López
Voluntad Popular, Former Mayor of Chacao
Pro: Born talker, fearsome campaigner, could sell ice to an eskimo. Beautiful smile. Smart. Young. The ladies love him.
Con: Can’t run, barring an unlikely CIDH-ex-machina solution. Not a team player, worrying caudillistic tendencies. Thin resumé. Stinks of Cisneros money.
The deal: Could gain the lead if there were a change in his legal standing.
- Antonio Ledezma
Alianza Bravo Pueblo, Mayor of Greater Caracas
Pro: Tireless politician, a darling of the radical opposition who can also attract centrist votes. Good at the old-style populist harangue. Adaptable, quick thinking Pol.
Con: Adeco roots. Comando National de la Resistencia branches. Strong whiff of the jurassic about him. Chavismo would assail him for being CAP’s dauphin.
The deal: Only member of the old guard with a real chance.
- María Corina Machado
Independent, founder of Súmate and National Assembly Member
Pro: Excellent public speaker. Independent from party machinations. Seems to be laying the groundwork for a proper campaign organization. Very smart. Extravagantly competent. Easy on the eyes = lots of free media.
Con: Thin resumé. No party machinery. Visited Pedro Carmona at Miraflores. Visited George W. Bush at the White House. Upper-crust accent and body-language may not play well in Venezuela’s barrios and rural areas. Faces deep-seated prejudice against beautiful women in positions of power.
The deal: She’s really on tier 1.5. She should be doing better than she is, and with the right amount of pixie dust, she could run away with the thing.
- Pablo Pérez
Un Nuevo Tiempo, governor of Zulia.
Pro: Young, telegenic, governor of a huge state. Does not carry 2002 baggage. Non-controversial, easygoing.
Con: Zuliano – the nation has never elected one, and hasn’t come even close to doing so. Unknown outside his base. Can’t even unify his own party. A younger, hunkier, less experienced version of his mentor, Manuel Rosales.
The deal: Would get clobbered against Chávez, serious only because UNT has a proper national machine.
- Manuel Rosales
Un Nuevo Tiempo, former governor of Zulia, former mayor of Maracaibo
Pro: Name recognition. His wife is the mayor of the nation’s second-largest city. Continues to exert control over UNT party machinery.
Con: Barred from running. Doesn’t live in Venezuela. Despised in large chunks of the opposition. His own protegé is also running. Dull. Stupid. Possibly corrupt. No idea how to appeal to people outside his base. Humiliated once before already. Oh and, Zuliano (see Perez, Pablo).
The deal: Terrifyingly, could imaginably rally the post-adeco, neo-adeco universe behind him and walk away with the nomination. Would be first-tier if he could persuade Perez to bow out.
Wildcards & Kingmakers
- Lorenzo Mendoza
CEO, Empresas Polar
Pro: Outsider. Young. Telegenic. Smart. Managerial profile. Made of money.
Con: Blood far too blue for what’s coming. Zero political experience. Zero political machine. Fat cat.
The deal: A cypher. Could totally scramble the race if he decides to spend big. Has been selling us beer and mayonnaise for years, so why not presidents?
- Henri Falcón
PPT, Governor of Lara
Pro: Brilliant. Born pol. Wildly popular in Lara. Man of the people. Untainted by terrible Oppo brand.
Con: Badly distrusted by right-wing opposition. Too far left to win a primary. Former chavista ties make him ariascardenas-y.
The deal: Still one of the most intriguing figures in Venezuelan politics. Probably won’t run.
- Cecilia García Arocha
President of the Universidad Central de Venezuela
Pro: Hardened veteran of trench-warfare against Chavista encroachment. Loves a mike.
Con: Largely unknown outside middle class Caracas/academic circles.
The Deal: The hard-charging leader of the fight to save university autonomy is a favorite of middle-class anti-Chávez activists, especially in Caracas. Can she broaden her appeal?
- Henry Ramos Allup
Secretary General of Acción Democrática.
The deal: Equal parts Kissinger and Rasputin; even the U.S. embassy finds him appalling. Thrives behind the scenes. Outlandish in front of the cameras. Awkward, surly in front of actual voters. His tight grip on what remains of the legendary AD machine makes him a factor.
Would take votes from: Ledezma, Rosales, Perez.
- Cesar Pérez Vivas
Copei, governor of Táchira
Pro: Tachirense. Has a real base of support.
Con: Dictionary definition of a fourth republic dinosaur. No name recognition or support outside his state.
The deal: Campaign = Ego Trip.
Would take votes from: Capriles, MCM.
- Henrique Salas Römer
Proyecto Venezuela, former governor of Carabobo
Pro: Image as a pragmatist. Smart guy with a proven – if regional – party machine.
Con: Massively over-grown ego. Way past his prime. Largely absent from the national debate. Messianic streak. Has already lost to Chávez.
The deal: Another of these old pols who just can’t give up the dream no matter how desperately slim their chances are.
Would take votes from: His son, maybe.
- Oswaldo Alvarez Paz
Not in Education, Employment or Training
Pro: Ummmm…I’m thinking . . . ummm … ermmm … there has to be something … does “pro-business” count?
Con: Right wing extremist. Lazy campaigner. Positively Paleozoic. Was past his prime even in 1993. So out of touch with normal Venezuelans it makes your eyes water. Thinks having his picture taken with Luis Alfonso Dávila is a good idea. And he’s from Zulia, to boot…
The deal: Former enfant terrible of the ancien regime, yet still a part of it. Briefly jailed last year for talking crazy, which is the only reason he’s (marginally) relevant now.
Would take (few, very few) votes from: Capriles, Ledezma, Machado.
24/10/2011 at 11:36 (UTC 0)
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Many thanks for this list. Trouble is that Chavez is a sharp guerilla tactician. Only his physical inability can take him out of the race. Capriles and Ledezma have many faithful followers. Lopez did a great job when he was mayor of Chacao. What about Señora Rosales (because her husband cannot run) ? One question : who are the ones (or is the one) backed up by Washington DC ? Or does Washington once again bet on the wrong horse ?
13/06/2012 at 10:33 (UTC 0)
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Ik heb geen vertrouwen in de partijen van het kapitalisme. Sorry hoor maar de anti-Chavez partijen zijn allemaal pro-kapitalistisch en dienen de rijken en de burgerij.
Maar Hugo Chavez moet ook niet automatisch rekenen dat ik op hem zou stemmen als ik daar zou wonen. Ik ben het zat dat hij na 13 jaar geen socialisme heeft ingevoerd. Venezuela wil socialisme, maar blijkbaar wil de elite rond Hugo Chavez dat niet. Nee, die brullen alleen maar socialisme en geven geen enkele macht aan de arbeidersklasse.
Ik roep de arbeiders op om veel kritiek te uitenen op president Hugo Chavez. Mocht hij niet willen luisteren dan is het tijd voor een Arbeiders Partij van Venezuela op te richten. Een partij voor arbeiders op een socialistisch programma.
14/06/2012 at 13:07 (UTC 0)
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Je zegt zelf in je aanhef de rijken en de burgerij, dus alle Venezolanen, el Pueblo de Venezuela.
Wat jij wilt is dat slechts een groep het voor het zeggen heeft, alleen de arbeiders.
Venezuela voor alle Venezolanen, dat iedereen profiteert van de rijkdom van het land.
14/06/2012 at 13:16 (UTC 0)
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Anti-Chavez partijen dienen de rijken en de burgerij, dus alle Venezolanen, el Pueblo.
Je spreekt jezelf inderdaad direct tegen.
Als jij het voor het zeggen hebt, wordt het land opnieuw door een groep geregeerd, dus opnieuw hetzelfde als met Chavez.
Wat we nodig hebben is een Venezuela voor alle Venezolanen, waarbij het gehele volk profiteert van de rijkdommen van het land en niet alles wordt weggegeven aan landen zoals Cuba, Nicuaraga, Bolivia etc., in deze landen zitten machthebbers die Chavez naar de mond praten om van hem te kunnen profiteren.
12/07/2012 at 08:39 (UTC 0)
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Well, firstly an intirductoon to this dangerous (fool and somewhat idiot) type -very similar to Ahmadinejad, he wants to have treaties with him for nuclear reasons-. As always, he sings to Evo Morales, the new coca-president of Bolivia. And of course, to Boledvar, who was a brave soldier, first of Spain and afterwards the one who fought against us and won the war. He won the independence of what he called “The Great Venezuela” but he was a very bad polititian and that country divided mainly between today Venezuela and Colombia. And Chavez thinks he is a reincarnation of Boledvar, and wants to conquer all South-America. He also thinks he is a true believer in Christ, but the Revolutionary one, he thinks Christ is a kind of Che9 Guevara type.Now for the translation:”The world has goods for everyone, but the truth is that, some minorities, the descendants of the ones who crucified the Christ, the descendants of the same people who outed Bolivar from here and also the same who crucified him in their own way in Santa Marta, in Colombia. A minority made themselves the lords of all the richesses in the world, a minority made themselves the lord of all the gold in the planet, of the minerals, of the water, of the good lands, of the black oil, of the richesses, and have concentrated all the richesses in very little number of hands: 10% of the world’s population has more than half of all the richesses in the world and more than half of the world’ population are poorer and poorer everyday. Marvellous , ein??? I wonder how many black oil have nowadays Israel. Venezuela has more than Israel for sure. So Chavez is a Jew. Juas, juas.
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